This invitation to tender is now closed.

  • We are looking to commission a suppler to develop a model of demand for health care, based on the modelling of risk factors and the prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
  • The model will sit within the work of a new research centre the Health Foundation has set up to improve the quality of strategic decisions about the funding, design and delivery of health and social care system.
  • We anticipate bids from £450,000 - £475,000 (inclusive of VAT and expenses).
  • Deadline for responses: Thursday 13 February 2020, 17.00.

The Health Foundation is an independent endowed foundation whose mission is to improve health and health care in the UK. In doing so it carries out a range of activities such as policy analysis and quantitative research, including on the long-term financial sustainability of the health and social care sector. The Health Foundation’s research centre is being set up to improve the quality of strategic decisions about the funding, design and delivery of health and social care system. The centre is fully funded by the Health Foundation and will comprise a team within the Foundation, a network of academic partners undertaking long-term research, and commissioned research, partnerships and collaborations around specific issues. This tender is for one of the partnerships.

A key part of the centre’s work will be to produce independent projections, research and analysis strongly rooted in robust quantitative modelling. The work described within this tender documentation is one phase of a multi-phase, multi-disciplinary approach to developing integrated health and social care supply and demand models. This tender is to work in partnership with the Health Foundation’s centre to develop a model of health care demand based on risk factors and the prevalence of NCDs. Although the focus of this tender will be on health care need and health service use, our ultimate aim is to build a unified model of health and social care need and service use.

Full details of the specification are detailed in the Invitation to Tender.

The provider will be appointed in March 2020, to start work in April. We expect the activity to take place for the following three years.

How to apply

If you are interested in submitting a proposal, please go through the following steps to complete your application.

1. Important supporting information

All applicants must read the Invitation to Tender in full before completing the online application form.

2. The application form

All applications must be completed and submitted via our online system AIMS.

You need to first register on AIMS before you can complete the online application form. It is important that you register as your organisation rather than as an individual. Please include the contact details for the person you wish to be the primary contact for your application.

Full guidance on accessing, completing and submitting your application via AIMS can be found in the Applicants user guide. We recommend that you keep a copy of this manual to hand, to refer to, while you complete your application.

3. Deadlines

The deadline for online applications is 17:00 on Thursday 13 February 2020. We will not accept late submissions.

Shortlisted organisations will need to be available for an interview on Wednesday 11 March 2020 at the Health Foundation, 8 Salisbury Square, London, EC4Y 8BB.

Please note: If you have any queries about the programme or application process, email:

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